Tuesday 24 April 2018

Punchestown Day Two

Not the best day yesterday but we go again. Small stakles the order of the day as this meeting continues to be unpredictable.

15:40
A big field handicap so looking for some value. Steel Wave is near the bottom of the weights for Willie Mullins ans as seen yesterday none of his can be ruled out. 16/1 is fair and might make the frame with 6 places available.
Steel Wave 1pt ew 16/1

16:20
Pravalaguna is second favourite behind Sire Du Berlais and they could well fight out the finish. Good Thyne Tara finished just behind Pravalaguna three starts back and last time out was 5th behind Samcro in a grade 3 at Navan. She is three times the price at 9/1 and gets the mares allowance from the boys.
Good Thyne Tara 1pt ew 9/1

16:55
Having finished third to Samcro at Cheltenham and with Black Op going on to win at Aintree Next Destinations form is rock solid. He is rightly favourite and could well win easily. Colin Tizzard should have an idea of what is needed from a form line with Vision Des Flos, who was just behind Next Destination at the festival. Kilbricken Storm was a good winner of the Albert Bartlett, Santini has boosted the form going on to win the grade one Sefton at Aintree with Tower Bridge in third who was 5th in the Ballymore. Guarenteed to stay the three mile trip having won three times at the distance I think he will outstay the Mullins favourite.
Kilbricken Storm 2pts win 7/2

17:30
This looks a bit of a puzzle to me. Road to Respect probably has the best form but is too short at 9/4. Bellshill ran a cracker in the Irish National. Killultagh Vic and Total Recall looked to be well on the upgrade but recent runs leave them with more questions than answers. Djakadam hasn't had a good season and his best days could be behind him. Edwulf and Outlander are not ones to rely on but could outrun their odds if on a going day. Going to have a real punt on Alpha Des Obeaux at 50/1 he could run into a place if turning up in the right frame of mind and that would pay 10/1 a place. A watching race for me.
Alpha Des Obeaux 0.5 pts ew 50/1

18:05
I'm not sure why Relegate isn't favourite ahead of Blackbow. She beat that rival fair and square and don't see why that form should be reversed. This still looks wide open even with Relegate being three from three and winning the big one at Cheltenham. Tornado Flyer ran well in that race and did well to finish close up after pulling hard most of the way. Carefully Selected finished second in that Champion Bumper and the booking of Derek O'Connor is a positive. I will go for Getaway John, he was beaten a head by Tornado Flyer but has won twice since. Last time out winning just under three lengths with a massive 24 lengths back to the third. Dorking Boy needs to be watched as his yard could not be in any better form.
Getaway John 1pt ew 12/1

18:40
Shanahans's Turn looks to have a good chance after his second to Ultragold at Aintree. Its interesting to see Harry Cobden travels over for the Tizzard rides. Blast of Koeman could  well run into a place with 5 on offer at around 8/1.
Shanahans's Turn 2pts ew 6/1

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