Dante day at York today. Yesterday wasn’t bad gave some winners a good mention however picked some of the wrong ones in the end. Had some decent place money with Foolaad and Crowned Eagle, Give And Take given a strong word too.
2:20
With bookies paying each way for 5 places in the first I’m picking two against the field. Poyle Vinnie always runs a good race, and this year he runs in this with a 16lb lower mark than when third last year. With only 8st 6lbs to carry will give him a great chance of making the frame at least at around 9/1. The second choice is Sheepscar Lad, successful in his last two runs last year and also in his seasonal return last month. He is stepping up in grade from a class four but again has very little weight to carry and only four years old there could be more improvement to come. Another positive is the booking of Silvestre De Sousa. 10/1 is a fair price and worth a small stake.
2:55
Mori will be a popular choice for Sir Micheal Stoute and Ryan Moore, especially with his fantastic breeding. He has only won at Listed level at best and has been beaten by favourite Coronet in last years Ribblesdale although only by a neck. Stoute’s other runner Smart Call has been highly tried in group one races but can’t see him winnning this. It’s hard to see beyond Coronet who has run well and been placed in top class races behind the likes of Enable and Capri. Hard to have a big bet at 2/1 but he is the likeliest winner and that could be good value.
3:30
The Dante has become the best Derby trial in recent years. This years renewal looks interesting if possibly lacking a real Derby winner. Roaring Lion brings the Guineas form to the fore, which is the best form in the race but I have doubts if he wants this trip. As the favourite I’ll be taking him on especially as he is far too short in my opinion. Mildenberger is an interesting horse, a dual listed winner I can see him reversing the form when beaten by Roaring Lion in the Royal Lodge over a mile. By Teofilo he should relish the step up in trip having stayed on well last time out, he looked like he needed this trip. There has been some money for him on Wednesday night indicating a big run is expected. James Cook is definitely going to improve for his first run of the season behind Crossed Baton at Epsom, the question is if it’s going to be significantly enough to turn the form around and I have my doubts. Nordic Lights represents Godolphin and comes here having only run twice winning both races. It is a massive step up in grade but there is obviously a lot more to come but it’s a guessing game of how much on his third run. Wells Farhh Go is very highly thought of by his stable and for someone that’s been in the game as Tim Easterby you have to respect there opinion. His form is also very good at the track having won both his races there. It is a fair step up from two seven furlong races but on breeding he should really enjoy the longer distance. Crossed Baton won the Oaks trial at Epsom in April with James Cook back in fourth. My Lord And Master and Dee Ex Bee who were second and third have run well since so the form has some substance to it and John Gosden likes to send his Derby contenders to this race, having won two out of the last three years.
This really is interesting and hard to call, but I would go against Roaring Lion and look to be backing Mildenberger and Crossed Baton. Wells Farhh Go is also of big interest.
4:05
Another interesting handicap with four places available I’ll be picking two selections again. Barraweez comes here having won a class 2 handicap last time out and Brian Ellison couldn’t have his horses in better form. He has a nice weight with his apprentice taking a further 3lb off, he is also well drawn in stall four. Second selection is Third Time Lucky, Richard Fahey is the man to follow at York especially the ones ridden bu Paul Hanagan. He also ran a good race last time out in a class 2 at Newmarket. Love Dreams has a chance for Mark Johnston at a big price of 16/1 and also Original Choice as William Haggis has been in super form.
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