Tuesday 19 June 2018

Wednesday picks

Royal Ascot Selections.

2:30 Shades Of Blue 4/1
3:05 Stream Of Stars 7/2
3:40 Wilamina 8/1 ew
4:20 Cracksman 4/6
5:00 Saltonstall 12/1 ew
5:35 Purser 14/1 ew

Ascot Wednesday

Two winners on Tuesday, Without Parole and Monarchs Glen doing the business. Hoping to continue the good form on Wednesday.

2:30
Chelsea Cloisters is favourite and baring in mind Wesley Wards record with his sprinters she needs to be feared. At 2/1 she is too short and I’ll taker her on with second favourite Shades Of Blue, she was impressive first time out at this venue doing her best work late on. There should be any amount of improvement and the second from that race has won twice since.
Shades Of Blue e/w 9/2

3:05
Aidan O’Brien holds the aces here with Kew Gardens the choice of Ryan Moore and Nelson. Both have been running at the highest level and the drop to group 2 will help. They have had the chances though and I’ll take a possible improver with Stream Of Stars for the form duo of Gosden and Dettori. Having only raced twice  he should have plenty more to give especially over this longer trip. With John Gosden having won this race last year I’d like to think he knows what it takes to win this again. Of the O’Brien runners it could be Southern France who lays down the biggest challenge.
Stream Of Stars 7/2

3:40
Hydrangea is a worthy favourite and should go really close, but has to give weight to all her rivals as she is a group one winner. Aljazzi is another group class performer at this kind of level and will be on the premises but I prefer the chances of Wilamina. Her form is pretty solid and was impressed with her last time out a Epsom when running out a winner in a group 3. Before that she finished runner up to the smart Wuheida in the group 2 Dahlia Stakes and at around 8/1 I think she is cracking value. Hydrangea could end up being to classy for the rest but if she is not on her game I can see Wilamina going very close.
Wilamina e/w 8/1

4:20
Cracksman wins simple. For some value each way I’d chance Dubai Sheema Classic winner Hawkbill at 12/1.
Cracksman 4/6

5:00
A massive field for this handicap and six places on offer for each way bets. I like Saltonstall for Godolphin at around 12/1 and the second selection is Archetype at a price of 28/1. He has shown good progressive form and the booking of Silvestre De Sousa is a positive for the yard. Small stakes only for this race.
Saltonstall e/w 12/1 and Archetype e/w 28/1

5:35
I will be giving another chance to William Haggis’ Headway who was hugely impressive when coming from the clouds to win cosily at Lingfield. He then finished down the field in the Guineas but we have already seen how strong that form is. Society Power is much respected for the same trainer, rattling up a progressive five timer with the last two contests at class 2 level and there could be more to come. That combination of Gosden and Dettori team up again with Purser, and like Tuesdays win with Monarchs Glen also owned by Khallid Abdullah is a nice price. At 14/1 I’d be surprised if he wasn’t on the premises at the line.
Headway e/w 10/1 and Purser e/w 14/1 


Friday 1 June 2018

Derby Day

2:00
Ship Of The Fen has a low weight and should go well. Poets Prince has been running well and is a worthy favourite, but has a a couple of concerns if the ground remains on the soft side. I like Court House, he has been running in decent races last time splitting Old Persion and Department Of War in a listed contest. 6/1 seems a decent price for an each way bet.

2:35
This is a really open race where none of the runners can really be discounted. Stage Name could be anything having only run twice before, stepping up on his debut second to score next time out. Lincoln Rocks, Shenanigans and Wilamina bring Listed and Group race form with them and will all be in the mix. I’m going to go for Anna Nerium after her seventh in the 1000 Guineas. The horses that finished in front have done the form no harm. Happily and Soliloquy finished third and fourth in the Irish Guineas, fourth home Wild Illusion was second in the Oaks yesterday and Laurens has since won a group one in France. On top of that she gets 9lbs from all bar one of her rivals.

3:10
Breton Rock is a consistent performer but probably better over 7 furlongs than a mile, he is also now 8 and not going to be improving. Arod won last time out at Windsor in a Listed race. That was his first win for almost two years and isn’t one to rely upon in this Group 3 although he has been given some tough assignments. Love Dreams has been progressively nicely and will need to continue that trend stepping up in class today. I’m siding with Century Dream, he had been running very well in class 2 races before a poor showing in a Group 2 at Longchamp. He bounced back to win a Listed race at Ascot last time, the third that day has since finished sixth in the Group 1 Lockinge.

3:45
Six places available for each way betting and a real head scratcher. Chances a plenty down the card, BoomThe Groom ran well last time and having Silvestre De Sousa on board can only help his chances, he can be tricky to win with is a note of caution with him. Caspian Prince has a fantastic record in the race having won it three times before, he should grab a place at least. Duke Of Firenze won this in 2013 and has been placed the last two years and should do again. I think Dark Shot could prevail as market leader, he came from the back with an almighty run last year to just fail to get there and his comeback run this year for his new trainer would have put him spot on. Whatever you back ensure it’s each way as this is tricky.

4:30
Roaring Lion stepped up nicely from his Guineas run to land the Dante comfortably last time. John Gosden expected his charge to improve for middle distances this year and he did that well. How could a renewal of that race is open to question and he has been beaten twice by the favourite so hard to see him reverse that trend here. Young Rascal and Dee Ex Bee we’re first and second in the Chester Vase last time, Willie Haggis’ youngster looked impressive that day and having only had three runs, I expect him to hold up that form with more improvement likely against his more experienced rival. Knight To Behold looks another interesting runner having also only run three times, he stepped up to win the Lingfield Derby trial last time and should improve again. Saxon Warrior is a worthy favourite with his Guineas win the best form and best trial for this. He has looked every inch a middle distance performer and being by Deep Impact he should easily get the trip. Hazapour brings the Irish trial form winning the Derrinstown from Delano Roosevelt and The Pentagon. Delano Roosevelt has been crying out for a trip and I think he is and each way player at a decent price, Hazapour will go on the dogfish ground nicely and could figure with Frankie Dettori an interesting booking to ride as he doesn’t for Dermot Weld very often.
I think Saxon Warrior wins and Young Rascal to follow him home.

5:15
Across The Stars is very consistent but hardly wins. Golden Wolf is also very consistent and has only run nine times and could have more to offer at a nice 8/1. Pacify was behind Ajman King last time out and that one has gone in again since to frank the form. Dash Of Spice finished second in that race and it’s hard to see the form being turned around. The 4/1 on offer looks like a nice price to get on.


Thursday 17 May 2018

York Day Three

Day two was a bit of a shocker aside from Coronet winning quite impressively, we have days like that and it’s on to the next. Small stakes still the way forward for now.

2:20
A really tricky looking opening listed race for two year olds. 16 runners and with ten last time out winners. Seven runners have only raced and won once, the only one two from two is No Lippy who won the Lily Agnes last time. She is the definite starting place when looking for the winner, that was a very professional run last week. Nickis Angel was mentioned at the start of the meeting by Richard Fahey as one of the his he was really looking forward to. That in itself is a big hint considering how well some of the horses have run. He was 8/1 on the first day but is now into 9/2 indicating the confidence has only grown. Those two are quite short now so for a little value I’ll look at the Godolphin runner Strings Of Life. From the excellent Charlie Appleby yard, he will know exactly where he is at with his two year olds and she was an eye catching winner on debut. Odds of 6/1 look reasonable with four places available for each way betting.

2:55
Threading heads the market but has some questions to answer. She won her maiden first time out and then followed that up by winning the Lowther here at York. She then finished down the field in her last two races, the Cheveley Park at the end of last year, then in her reappearance in the Nell Gwyn. If she is back to her best she would be hard to beat but that’s a question she has to answer now. Sheikha Reika stepped on her two year old form to win first time out this year and has the possibility of serious progress this year. They are both quite short prices so will look elsewhere for some value. I think Dance Diva and Juliet Foxtot may struggle so that leaves Simon Crisford’s Dark Rose Angel. This nicely bred filly had some good two year old form, notably her second to 1000 Guineas runner up Laurens in the May Hill. At 6/1 she is a nice price to take a small punt on.

3:30
Max Dynamite is classy individual and has run in plenty of top class races, Willie Mullins has no problem getting some of his stable primed for top staying races on the flat. However he is now eight years old and there will probably be a younger rival that will improve past his quality. Count Octave could run well at a nice price, his form is pretty solid finishing third to Defoe in a group 2 after winning on the all weather first time out this year. He also ran in the St Ledger last year and that race looks quite strong with the likes of Rekindling and Coronet finishing in front of him. Third in that race though was Stradivarius and I can’t see him turning that for around. Desert Skyline was solid last year but is just short of top class and may struggle to win this, but will run his race. I really can’t see beyond Stradivarius although he is no bet at 11/10. The son of Sea The Stars was third to Order Of St George on Champions Day at the end of last seqson and before that was a half length second in the St Ledger. He should only improve and strengthen up this year as a four year old.

4:05
Tricky handicap without much of a fancy in this. Valcartier and Thundering Blue head the betting and look dangerous, at a slightly bigger price I like Capton at 15/2. He ran really well and consistently last year and Henry Candy has Ryan Moore books to ride. Small bet only in this one.

Byron Nelson Golf Tips

The Byron Nelson kicks off today and at a new venue which will make things a little more interesting.

Jordan Spieth is a hot favourite being a local to the course, but at 4/1 he is no betting proposition for me even though he could make that price seem big come Sunday. I’d rather pick a few each way at bigger prices to give me a run for my money, especially with 8 places being offered.

Marc Leishman 20/1
He has performed well in Open championships and on links courses which will suit him well at this venue.

Jimmy Walker 16/1
Back to form with a solid showing in finishing tied second at The Players last week. When playing well he can get on a roll and can see him going close here too.

Beau Hossler 25/1
Trinity is his home course so there can be no better advantage of competing at your own club. He has also been in good form, if he can keep it together for all four rounds he could contend down the stretch.

Branden Grace 18/1
Having had a break due to the birth of his son, he could be back and contending here after an average showing at The Players last week. Another with very good links form being a past winner of The Dunhill links Championship. If in the right form he is very dangerous.


Wednesday 16 May 2018

York Day Two

Dante day at York today. Yesterday wasn’t bad gave some winners a good mention however picked some of the wrong ones in the end. Had some decent place money with Foolaad and Crowned Eagle, Give And Take given a strong word too.

2:20
With bookies paying each way for 5 places in the first I’m picking two against the field. Poyle Vinnie always runs a good race, and this year he runs in this with a 16lb lower mark than when third last year. With only 8st 6lbs to carry will give him a great chance of making the frame at least at around 9/1. The second choice is Sheepscar Lad, successful in his last two runs last year and also in his seasonal return last month. He is stepping up in grade from a class four but again has very little weight to carry and only four years old there could be more improvement to come. Another positive is the booking of   Silvestre De Sousa. 10/1 is a fair price and worth a small stake.

2:55
Mori will be a popular choice for Sir Micheal Stoute and Ryan Moore, especially with his fantastic breeding. He has only won at Listed level at best and has been beaten by favourite Coronet in last years Ribblesdale although only by a neck. Stoute’s other runner Smart Call has been highly tried in group one races but can’t see him winnning this. It’s hard to see beyond Coronet who has run well and been placed in top class races behind the likes of Enable and Capri. Hard to have a big bet at 2/1 but he is the likeliest winner and that could be good value.

3:30
The Dante has become the best Derby trial in recent years. This years renewal looks interesting if possibly lacking a real Derby winner. Roaring Lion brings the Guineas form to the fore, which is the best form in the race but I have doubts if he wants this trip. As the favourite I’ll be taking him on especially as he is far too short in my opinion. Mildenberger is an interesting horse, a dual listed winner I can see him reversing the form when beaten by Roaring Lion in the Royal Lodge over a mile. By Teofilo he should relish the step up in trip having stayed on well last time out, he looked like he needed this trip. There has been some money for him on Wednesday night indicating a big run is expected. James Cook is definitely going to improve for his first run of the season behind Crossed Baton at Epsom, the question is if it’s going to be significantly enough to turn the form around and I have my doubts. Nordic Lights represents Godolphin and comes here having only run twice winning both races. It is a massive step up in grade but there is obviously a lot more to come but it’s a guessing game of how much on his third run. Wells Farhh Go is very highly thought of by his stable and for someone that’s been in the game as Tim Easterby you have to respect there opinion. His form is also very good at the track having won both his races there. It is a fair step up from two seven furlong races but on breeding he should really enjoy the longer distance. Crossed Baton won the Oaks trial at Epsom in April with James Cook back in fourth. My Lord And Master and Dee Ex Bee who were second and third have run well since so the form has some substance to it and John Gosden likes to send his Derby contenders to this race, having won two out of the last three years.
This really is interesting and hard to call, but I would go against Roaring Lion and look to be backing Mildenberger and Crossed Baton. Wells Farhh Go is also of big interest.

4:05
Another interesting handicap with four places available I’ll be picking two selections again. Barraweez comes here having won a class 2 handicap last time out and Brian Ellison couldn’t have his horses in better form. He has a nice weight with his apprentice taking a further 3lb off, he is also well drawn in stall four. Second selection is Third Time Lucky, Richard Fahey is the man to follow at York especially the ones ridden bu Paul Hanagan. He also ran a good race last time out in a class 2 at Newmarket. Love Dreams has a chance for Mark Johnston at a big price of 16/1 and also Original Choice as William Haggis has been in super form.

Tuesday 15 May 2018

York Day One

Haven’t had much luck lately, struggling with the switch from jumps to flat. Keeping it small stakes and try to turn it around.

2:20
The first race is an open looking handicap even with a few runners. The Godolphin pair heading the market. Hamada gets plenty of weight from his stable companion and won last time out after a long lay off. There could be plenty more to come from him, whereas Banksea is not guaranteed to stay this trip. Clive Cox has his horses in good order and his Now Children also won first time out after a long absence making it three wins from four starts, he will be a danger. I’m going to give Crowned Eagle a chance, he ran in last years Derby when trained by John Gosden. Having been highly tried last year there must of been some hope he was useful. A winner last time of a Kempton handicap I’m hoping he can continue to show some of the form that entitled him to that entry to the biggest race last year. At 7/1 he could be a nice price if on top of his game.

2:55
An even trickier handicap up next, nineteen runners with Richard Fahey and Tim Easterby both having three entered. Any one of those could win and I wouldn’t be surprised the way they target these meetings. Frankie Dettori is an interesting jockey booking for Danzeno, having mixed it with the big boys in top class sprints he could be very well in if top of his game. His last few runs have been a little disappointing but could easily bounce back, at 7/1 he is a tempting price each way with 5 places available. I’m going for one of the Fahey horses in Gin InThe Inn, he is short enough at 6/1 but comes here in form having won a class 2 handicap last time. Foolaad has been in great form winning his last five, four on the all weather and then on turf last time. Most of his winning is over 5 furlongs but has won at 6 and 7 before. He is not passed over lightly.

3:30
The group 2 sprint over 6 furlongs and it’s very hard to oppose Harry Angel on his seasonal return. Top class last year in all the top sprints he should win this hopefully having trained on and stronger this year as a four year old. Only two places each way and I’m going to take him on with a small bet on Tasleet. He has lots of form to tie him in with the Favourite including finishing just behind and in front of him. If Harry Angel is not on top shape then Tasleet can take advantage and win this race like last year. Brando is a solid sprinter but I’m not sure he is quite in the same league as the other two. The only chance I see him having is race fitness having won the group 3 Abernant recently.

4:05
The group 3 Musidora looks an interesting and competitive like me up. Lubinka won her reappearance on the all weather last month, that should set her up nicely for this. That was a class 6 but she finished last year with a creditable sixth in the group 1 fillies mile. That form looks good with the winner Laurens going so close in the 1000 Guineas. Highgarden has been backed into favourite Tuesday evening, this will be the fastest ground she would of encountered but will definitely stay the trip having run over the distance previously. Give And Take finished in front of Highgarden at Sandown but is double the price, that could be valuable. He also finished second to Wild Illusion in a novice race and that horse finished fourth in the Guineas. For me not a race to have big stakes but at the prices I like Lubinka at 11/2 that form with Laurens is really strong and seems like good value.



Wednesday picks

Royal Ascot Selections. 2:30 Shades Of Blue 4/1 3:05 Stream Of Stars 7/2 3:40 Wilamina 8/1 ew 4:20 Cracksman 4/6 5:00 Saltonstall 12/1...