Day two was a bit of a shocker aside from Coronet winning quite impressively, we have days like that and it’s on to the next. Small stakes still the way forward for now.
2:20
A really tricky looking opening listed race for two year olds. 16 runners and with ten last time out winners. Seven runners have only raced and won once, the only one two from two is No Lippy who won the Lily Agnes last time. She is the definite starting place when looking for the winner, that was a very professional run last week. Nickis Angel was mentioned at the start of the meeting by Richard Fahey as one of the his he was really looking forward to. That in itself is a big hint considering how well some of the horses have run. He was 8/1 on the first day but is now into 9/2 indicating the confidence has only grown. Those two are quite short now so for a little value I’ll look at the Godolphin runner Strings Of Life. From the excellent Charlie Appleby yard, he will know exactly where he is at with his two year olds and she was an eye catching winner on debut. Odds of 6/1 look reasonable with four places available for each way betting.
2:55
Threading heads the market but has some questions to answer. She won her maiden first time out and then followed that up by winning the Lowther here at York. She then finished down the field in her last two races, the Cheveley Park at the end of last year, then in her reappearance in the Nell Gwyn. If she is back to her best she would be hard to beat but that’s a question she has to answer now. Sheikha Reika stepped on her two year old form to win first time out this year and has the possibility of serious progress this year. They are both quite short prices so will look elsewhere for some value. I think Dance Diva and Juliet Foxtot may struggle so that leaves Simon Crisford’s Dark Rose Angel. This nicely bred filly had some good two year old form, notably her second to 1000 Guineas runner up Laurens in the May Hill. At 6/1 she is a nice price to take a small punt on.
3:30
Max Dynamite is classy individual and has run in plenty of top class races, Willie Mullins has no problem getting some of his stable primed for top staying races on the flat. However he is now eight years old and there will probably be a younger rival that will improve past his quality. Count Octave could run well at a nice price, his form is pretty solid finishing third to Defoe in a group 2 after winning on the all weather first time out this year. He also ran in the St Ledger last year and that race looks quite strong with the likes of Rekindling and Coronet finishing in front of him. Third in that race though was Stradivarius and I can’t see him turning that for around. Desert Skyline was solid last year but is just short of top class and may struggle to win this, but will run his race. I really can’t see beyond Stradivarius although he is no bet at 11/10. The son of Sea The Stars was third to Order Of St George on Champions Day at the end of last seqson and before that was a half length second in the St Ledger. He should only improve and strengthen up this year as a four year old.
4:05
Tricky handicap without much of a fancy in this. Valcartier and Thundering Blue head the betting and look dangerous, at a slightly bigger price I like Capton at 15/2. He ran really well and consistently last year and Henry Candy has Ryan Moore books to ride. Small bet only in this one.
Thursday 17 May 2018
Byron Nelson Golf Tips
The Byron Nelson kicks off today and at a new venue which will make things a little more interesting.
Jordan Spieth is a hot favourite being a local to the course, but at 4/1 he is no betting proposition for me even though he could make that price seem big come Sunday. I’d rather pick a few each way at bigger prices to give me a run for my money, especially with 8 places being offered.
Marc Leishman 20/1
He has performed well in Open championships and on links courses which will suit him well at this venue.
Jimmy Walker 16/1
Back to form with a solid showing in finishing tied second at The Players last week. When playing well he can get on a roll and can see him going close here too.
Beau Hossler 25/1
Trinity is his home course so there can be no better advantage of competing at your own club. He has also been in good form, if he can keep it together for all four rounds he could contend down the stretch.
Branden Grace 18/1
Having had a break due to the birth of his son, he could be back and contending here after an average showing at The Players last week. Another with very good links form being a past winner of The Dunhill links Championship. If in the right form he is very dangerous.
Jordan Spieth is a hot favourite being a local to the course, but at 4/1 he is no betting proposition for me even though he could make that price seem big come Sunday. I’d rather pick a few each way at bigger prices to give me a run for my money, especially with 8 places being offered.
Marc Leishman 20/1
He has performed well in Open championships and on links courses which will suit him well at this venue.
Jimmy Walker 16/1
Back to form with a solid showing in finishing tied second at The Players last week. When playing well he can get on a roll and can see him going close here too.
Beau Hossler 25/1
Trinity is his home course so there can be no better advantage of competing at your own club. He has also been in good form, if he can keep it together for all four rounds he could contend down the stretch.
Branden Grace 18/1
Having had a break due to the birth of his son, he could be back and contending here after an average showing at The Players last week. Another with very good links form being a past winner of The Dunhill links Championship. If in the right form he is very dangerous.
Wednesday 16 May 2018
York Day Two
Dante day at York today. Yesterday wasn’t bad gave some winners a good mention however picked some of the wrong ones in the end. Had some decent place money with Foolaad and Crowned Eagle, Give And Take given a strong word too.
2:20
With bookies paying each way for 5 places in the first I’m picking two against the field. Poyle Vinnie always runs a good race, and this year he runs in this with a 16lb lower mark than when third last year. With only 8st 6lbs to carry will give him a great chance of making the frame at least at around 9/1. The second choice is Sheepscar Lad, successful in his last two runs last year and also in his seasonal return last month. He is stepping up in grade from a class four but again has very little weight to carry and only four years old there could be more improvement to come. Another positive is the booking of Silvestre De Sousa. 10/1 is a fair price and worth a small stake.
2:55
Mori will be a popular choice for Sir Micheal Stoute and Ryan Moore, especially with his fantastic breeding. He has only won at Listed level at best and has been beaten by favourite Coronet in last years Ribblesdale although only by a neck. Stoute’s other runner Smart Call has been highly tried in group one races but can’t see him winnning this. It’s hard to see beyond Coronet who has run well and been placed in top class races behind the likes of Enable and Capri. Hard to have a big bet at 2/1 but he is the likeliest winner and that could be good value.
3:30
The Dante has become the best Derby trial in recent years. This years renewal looks interesting if possibly lacking a real Derby winner. Roaring Lion brings the Guineas form to the fore, which is the best form in the race but I have doubts if he wants this trip. As the favourite I’ll be taking him on especially as he is far too short in my opinion. Mildenberger is an interesting horse, a dual listed winner I can see him reversing the form when beaten by Roaring Lion in the Royal Lodge over a mile. By Teofilo he should relish the step up in trip having stayed on well last time out, he looked like he needed this trip. There has been some money for him on Wednesday night indicating a big run is expected. James Cook is definitely going to improve for his first run of the season behind Crossed Baton at Epsom, the question is if it’s going to be significantly enough to turn the form around and I have my doubts. Nordic Lights represents Godolphin and comes here having only run twice winning both races. It is a massive step up in grade but there is obviously a lot more to come but it’s a guessing game of how much on his third run. Wells Farhh Go is very highly thought of by his stable and for someone that’s been in the game as Tim Easterby you have to respect there opinion. His form is also very good at the track having won both his races there. It is a fair step up from two seven furlong races but on breeding he should really enjoy the longer distance. Crossed Baton won the Oaks trial at Epsom in April with James Cook back in fourth. My Lord And Master and Dee Ex Bee who were second and third have run well since so the form has some substance to it and John Gosden likes to send his Derby contenders to this race, having won two out of the last three years.
This really is interesting and hard to call, but I would go against Roaring Lion and look to be backing Mildenberger and Crossed Baton. Wells Farhh Go is also of big interest.
4:05
Another interesting handicap with four places available I’ll be picking two selections again. Barraweez comes here having won a class 2 handicap last time out and Brian Ellison couldn’t have his horses in better form. He has a nice weight with his apprentice taking a further 3lb off, he is also well drawn in stall four. Second selection is Third Time Lucky, Richard Fahey is the man to follow at York especially the ones ridden bu Paul Hanagan. He also ran a good race last time out in a class 2 at Newmarket. Love Dreams has a chance for Mark Johnston at a big price of 16/1 and also Original Choice as William Haggis has been in super form.
2:20
With bookies paying each way for 5 places in the first I’m picking two against the field. Poyle Vinnie always runs a good race, and this year he runs in this with a 16lb lower mark than when third last year. With only 8st 6lbs to carry will give him a great chance of making the frame at least at around 9/1. The second choice is Sheepscar Lad, successful in his last two runs last year and also in his seasonal return last month. He is stepping up in grade from a class four but again has very little weight to carry and only four years old there could be more improvement to come. Another positive is the booking of Silvestre De Sousa. 10/1 is a fair price and worth a small stake.
2:55
Mori will be a popular choice for Sir Micheal Stoute and Ryan Moore, especially with his fantastic breeding. He has only won at Listed level at best and has been beaten by favourite Coronet in last years Ribblesdale although only by a neck. Stoute’s other runner Smart Call has been highly tried in group one races but can’t see him winnning this. It’s hard to see beyond Coronet who has run well and been placed in top class races behind the likes of Enable and Capri. Hard to have a big bet at 2/1 but he is the likeliest winner and that could be good value.
3:30
The Dante has become the best Derby trial in recent years. This years renewal looks interesting if possibly lacking a real Derby winner. Roaring Lion brings the Guineas form to the fore, which is the best form in the race but I have doubts if he wants this trip. As the favourite I’ll be taking him on especially as he is far too short in my opinion. Mildenberger is an interesting horse, a dual listed winner I can see him reversing the form when beaten by Roaring Lion in the Royal Lodge over a mile. By Teofilo he should relish the step up in trip having stayed on well last time out, he looked like he needed this trip. There has been some money for him on Wednesday night indicating a big run is expected. James Cook is definitely going to improve for his first run of the season behind Crossed Baton at Epsom, the question is if it’s going to be significantly enough to turn the form around and I have my doubts. Nordic Lights represents Godolphin and comes here having only run twice winning both races. It is a massive step up in grade but there is obviously a lot more to come but it’s a guessing game of how much on his third run. Wells Farhh Go is very highly thought of by his stable and for someone that’s been in the game as Tim Easterby you have to respect there opinion. His form is also very good at the track having won both his races there. It is a fair step up from two seven furlong races but on breeding he should really enjoy the longer distance. Crossed Baton won the Oaks trial at Epsom in April with James Cook back in fourth. My Lord And Master and Dee Ex Bee who were second and third have run well since so the form has some substance to it and John Gosden likes to send his Derby contenders to this race, having won two out of the last three years.
This really is interesting and hard to call, but I would go against Roaring Lion and look to be backing Mildenberger and Crossed Baton. Wells Farhh Go is also of big interest.
4:05
Another interesting handicap with four places available I’ll be picking two selections again. Barraweez comes here having won a class 2 handicap last time out and Brian Ellison couldn’t have his horses in better form. He has a nice weight with his apprentice taking a further 3lb off, he is also well drawn in stall four. Second selection is Third Time Lucky, Richard Fahey is the man to follow at York especially the ones ridden bu Paul Hanagan. He also ran a good race last time out in a class 2 at Newmarket. Love Dreams has a chance for Mark Johnston at a big price of 16/1 and also Original Choice as William Haggis has been in super form.
Tuesday 15 May 2018
York Day One
Haven’t had much luck lately, struggling with the switch from jumps to flat. Keeping it small stakes and try to turn it around.
2:20
The first race is an open looking handicap even with a few runners. The Godolphin pair heading the market. Hamada gets plenty of weight from his stable companion and won last time out after a long lay off. There could be plenty more to come from him, whereas Banksea is not guaranteed to stay this trip. Clive Cox has his horses in good order and his Now Children also won first time out after a long absence making it three wins from four starts, he will be a danger. I’m going to give Crowned Eagle a chance, he ran in last years Derby when trained by John Gosden. Having been highly tried last year there must of been some hope he was useful. A winner last time of a Kempton handicap I’m hoping he can continue to show some of the form that entitled him to that entry to the biggest race last year. At 7/1 he could be a nice price if on top of his game.
2:55
An even trickier handicap up next, nineteen runners with Richard Fahey and Tim Easterby both having three entered. Any one of those could win and I wouldn’t be surprised the way they target these meetings. Frankie Dettori is an interesting jockey booking for Danzeno, having mixed it with the big boys in top class sprints he could be very well in if top of his game. His last few runs have been a little disappointing but could easily bounce back, at 7/1 he is a tempting price each way with 5 places available. I’m going for one of the Fahey horses in Gin InThe Inn, he is short enough at 6/1 but comes here in form having won a class 2 handicap last time. Foolaad has been in great form winning his last five, four on the all weather and then on turf last time. Most of his winning is over 5 furlongs but has won at 6 and 7 before. He is not passed over lightly.
3:30
The group 2 sprint over 6 furlongs and it’s very hard to oppose Harry Angel on his seasonal return. Top class last year in all the top sprints he should win this hopefully having trained on and stronger this year as a four year old. Only two places each way and I’m going to take him on with a small bet on Tasleet. He has lots of form to tie him in with the Favourite including finishing just behind and in front of him. If Harry Angel is not on top shape then Tasleet can take advantage and win this race like last year. Brando is a solid sprinter but I’m not sure he is quite in the same league as the other two. The only chance I see him having is race fitness having won the group 3 Abernant recently.
4:05
The group 3 Musidora looks an interesting and competitive like me up. Lubinka won her reappearance on the all weather last month, that should set her up nicely for this. That was a class 6 but she finished last year with a creditable sixth in the group 1 fillies mile. That form looks good with the winner Laurens going so close in the 1000 Guineas. Highgarden has been backed into favourite Tuesday evening, this will be the fastest ground she would of encountered but will definitely stay the trip having run over the distance previously. Give And Take finished in front of Highgarden at Sandown but is double the price, that could be valuable. He also finished second to Wild Illusion in a novice race and that horse finished fourth in the Guineas. For me not a race to have big stakes but at the prices I like Lubinka at 11/2 that form with Laurens is really strong and seems like good value.
Wednesday 9 May 2018
Chester Day Two
1:50
Top weight Doctor Sardonicus is picked to go close in the opener. Front runs and is drawn well to lead if jumping out quick. Each way value at 6/1.
Doctor Sardonicus, 2 pts ew 6/1
2:25
Rastrelli must go well in this race and has been backed this evening already. The Ballydoyle runners will obviously be of interest. However My Lord And Master is a worthy favourite having had his form boosted Wednesday by the first and second in the Vase. He beat the winner Young Rascal in a maiden by six lengths and finished in front of Dee Ex Bee when second in a Listed contest at Epsom last time out. Having no had only three runs there should be plenty of improvement to come.
My Lord And Master, 2 pts win 9/4
3:00
Vale Of Kent will be of popular interest for the in form Mark Johnston and is well drawn in stall three. Being There has only had the three runs and should still be progressive, however he might be best watched having been off the track for nearly a year. Caffe Macchiato is sent over from Ireland and wouldn’t be without a chance. My pick is Simpson, who is of interest having been in the same race and finishing fifth behind the previously mentioned My Lord And Master and Dee Ex Bee. That was a listed race at Epsom he has a nice weight in this and has the plumb draw in stall one.
Simpson, 2 pts ew 10/1
3:35
Not a race to get overly involved with betting wise. Idaho should win and is odds on but he is not the most consistent horse and definitely not bomb proof. Dane hill Kodiac should run his usual solid race but finds the level beyond him most of the time. So with three places available each way I’ll be having a punt on Dylan Mouth at 14/1. He has an outstanding record on his first run of the season and Andrea Atzeni is a positive booking for Marco Botti.
Dylan Mouth, 1 pt ew 14/1
Top weight Doctor Sardonicus is picked to go close in the opener. Front runs and is drawn well to lead if jumping out quick. Each way value at 6/1.
Doctor Sardonicus, 2 pts ew 6/1
2:25
Rastrelli must go well in this race and has been backed this evening already. The Ballydoyle runners will obviously be of interest. However My Lord And Master is a worthy favourite having had his form boosted Wednesday by the first and second in the Vase. He beat the winner Young Rascal in a maiden by six lengths and finished in front of Dee Ex Bee when second in a Listed contest at Epsom last time out. Having no had only three runs there should be plenty of improvement to come.
My Lord And Master, 2 pts win 9/4
3:00
Vale Of Kent will be of popular interest for the in form Mark Johnston and is well drawn in stall three. Being There has only had the three runs and should still be progressive, however he might be best watched having been off the track for nearly a year. Caffe Macchiato is sent over from Ireland and wouldn’t be without a chance. My pick is Simpson, who is of interest having been in the same race and finishing fifth behind the previously mentioned My Lord And Master and Dee Ex Bee. That was a listed race at Epsom he has a nice weight in this and has the plumb draw in stall one.
Simpson, 2 pts ew 10/1
3:35
Not a race to get overly involved with betting wise. Idaho should win and is odds on but he is not the most consistent horse and definitely not bomb proof. Dane hill Kodiac should run his usual solid race but finds the level beyond him most of the time. So with three places available each way I’ll be having a punt on Dylan Mouth at 14/1. He has an outstanding record on his first run of the season and Andrea Atzeni is a positive booking for Marco Botti.
Dylan Mouth, 1 pt ew 14/1
Players Championship Tips
The Players Championship
Five Value Selections
Patrick Cantley 40/1
Zach Johnson 40/1
Tony Finau 66/1
Adam Hadwin 70/1
Kevin Streelman 100/1
Paddy Power paying each way for 10 places.
Wednesday 2 May 2018
Three From Three on 03/05
Three Selections from three meetings on Thursday
Chelmsford
5:50 Pocket Dynamo 11/4
6:50 Main Street 11/10
8:50 Yabass 9/4
Lingfield
2:30 Mercury Rising 4/1
3:30 Dutiful Son 9/2
4:30 Playfull Spirit 6/5
Redcar
2:10 Tarrzan Evens
3:10 Robsdelight 13/8
4:40 Cristal Spirit 13/8
Ascot 02/05
Ascot Selections.
2:00
Spell and Getchagetchagetcha are two newcomers to watch on debut. Vikivaki ran a nice race to finish fourth on debut on the all weather at Newcastle. He should improve for that run and switches to turf for his second race. However The Irish Rover looks the one here, coming over from Ballydoyle for his second run. His debut was a nice race finishing third to once raced Skitter Scatter with Sergei Prokofiev second. His stable companion then went one better bolting up by over seven lengths at Navan.
The Iris Rover 2 pts win 1/3
2:35
Another small field but still competitive, Golden Iris did well to win first time out. Two of those in behind have run since and done nothing to really boost that form though and is passed over. Dathanna heads the market, however without the hood this time and at short odds I will take her on this time. Red Starlight won a 13 runner Novice race in October. She makes her return with ground sure to suit the daughter of Pivotal.
Red Starlight 2 pts win 7/2
3:10
A good race in the offering here. Raheen House is very interesting running over this distance for the first time, he could improve for the step up in trip. Time To Study was a good second in a Musselburgh handicap last time out and the booking of Ryan Moore is a positive too. Montaly has won a Chester Cup and a Lonsdale Cup and is feared. However Torcedor has been competing at the highest level and if it wasn't for Order O St George, he would have a group one and two wins to his name last year. He ran no race in Dubai last time out but Jessica Harrington said he didn't enjoy the trip over there and is back in form now.
Torcedor 2 pts win 11/4
3:45
The filly Irene should run a good race for Dean Ivory and has that little bit of weight advantage against the boys, but she will be up against it to win. Laugh A Minute comes from the in form Roger Varian yard, he won a 22 runner sales race last time out and now steps up in grade and cannot be discounted. Charlie Appleby sends out Sound And Silence who ran quite often as a two year old. He looks a big price at 5/1 but may have to play second fiddle to Invincible Army. Already placed in group races he ran a very promising race last time behind James Garfield. Ryan Moore has been booked and a big run looks likely.
Invincible Army 2 pts win 11/8
4:20
Century Dream runs without his usual headgear which he has won in four times and so is passed over on this occasion. Hors De Combat won a handicap at Meydan but has been beaten in this race in 2015 and 2016 and is unlikely to change that form today. Victory Bond has been in good form on the all weather during the winter. The drop in trip to a mile is not sure to suit here but Moore is booked to ride. Accidental Agent is a solid pick in this one, has form at the course and on the ground
Accidental Agent 3 pts win 7/4
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